4 census tracts · pop 12,529 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10
· range 9.9–9.9
Parkmerced spans 4 census tracts of San Francisco, CA and houses 12,529 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, High tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs 53% against 25.1% citywide, putting Parkmerced 27.7% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10.
93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10.
Set annual rent against average household income of $75,775 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #1 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Little Saigon and Hayes Valley. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 4 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $2,420, close to the San Francisco average.
With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.9
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Parkmerced vs San FranciscoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Parkmerced
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.6%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
16.1%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
29.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Parkmerced
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Parkmerced?
Parkmerced scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Parkmerced compare to San Francisco overall?
Parkmerced scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,420 vs $2,476.
Q3
What is the average rent in Parkmerced?
Average gross rent in Parkmerced is $2,420/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Parkmerced residents are renters?
93% of Parkmerced households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 12,529 residents.
Q5
Is Parkmerced a high social-vulnerability area?
Parkmerced sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Parkmerced have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Parkmerced is census tract 06075033201 (score 9.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Parkmerced for landlords?
Parkmerced carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Parkmerced?
Parkmerced has 12,019 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (36%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (20.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
