Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Union Square Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco
Tract 06075012503 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,368 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 06075012503 covers part of the Union Square area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,368. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 56%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units2,205
Renter share99.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$47,301
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Francisco and the region
Centroid at 37.7835, -122.4105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Square scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$935 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5
How Union Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Union Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.8%Food insecurity
- 26.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Square
Average gross rent is $935, 62% below the San Francisco average. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 26.7% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 44% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.
Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06075012503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075012503?
Census tract 06075012503 in the Union Square neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06075012503?
Median gross rent is $935/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06075012503?
26.1% of residents in tract 06075012503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,368.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06075012503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 70th, minority 85th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 06075012503 considered part of Union Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075012503 fall within Union Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06075012503 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06075012503 compare to San Francisco overall?
Tract 06075012503 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco
Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Lower Nob Hill
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Duboce Triangle
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Visitacion Valley
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Westwood Park
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
06075980401
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Jordan Park
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Silver Terrace
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Parkmerced
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Related