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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Union Square Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075011700 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,056 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

06075011700 is a census tract in the Union Square area of San Francisco, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,056 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 49% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share88.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$51,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Union Square
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7905, -122.4035 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Square scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,589 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Union Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0117009.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Union Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Square

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,589, 36% below the San Francisco average. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $51,964, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 44% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075011700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075011700?

Census tract 06075011700 in the Union Square neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075011700?

Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075011700?

21.3% of residents in tract 06075011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,056.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 66th, minority 75th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 06075011700 considered part of Union Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075011700 fall within Union Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075011700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075011700 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075011700 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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