4 census tracts · pop 11,524 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10
· range 9.9–9.9
Union Square spans 4 census tracts of San Francisco, CA, population 11,524. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $1,257, 49% below the San Francisco average of $2,476. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. This is a renter market: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10.
25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 23.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
That places it #1 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco. For a like-for-like read, Civic Center and Fillmore District score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 4 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.9
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Union Square vs San FranciscoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Union Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.7%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
23.7%SNAP enrollment
11.0%No health insurance
34.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Union Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Union Square?
Union Square scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Union Square compare to San Francisco overall?
Union Square scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,257 vs $2,476.
Q3
What is the average rent in Union Square?
Average gross rent in Union Square is $1,257/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Union Square residents are renters?
95% of Union Square households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 11,524 residents.
Q5
Is Union Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Union Square sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Union Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Union Square is census tract 06075012503 (score 9.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Union Square for landlords?
Union Square carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Union Square?
Union Square has 11,461 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Hispanic / Latino (20.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
