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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

August Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077001700 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,245 · 95% of tract blocks fall in August

Tract 06077001700 sits in August, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.4/10. Population here is 4,245. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 14% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,040
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate35.6%
Median income$31,310

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In August
Very Low
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across August and the region

Centroid at 37.9774, -121.2574 · click any tract to drill in

Why August scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from August
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
35.6% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from August
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from August
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from August
9.1

How August compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
August risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0017007.0Augustparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in August

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%. Set annual rent against average income of $31,310 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Housing insecurity runs 31.6% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.9/10.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Disability prevalence runs 45.0% against 31.5% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077001700?

Census tract 06077001700 in August scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077001700?

Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077001700?

35.6% of residents in tract 06077001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 90th, minority 87th, housing 88th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077001700 compare to August overall?

Tract 06077001700 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of August at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from August; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 06077001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in August

Top eight tracts in August ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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