Stockton Eviction Risk: High

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $996 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Stockton commands.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

Disability prevalence runs 45.8% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.