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Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077000300 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,298

Census tract 06077000300 covers part of Stockton, CA, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,298 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 42% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share86.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate40.1%
Median income$41,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 77 tracts In Stockton
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,413 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9525, -121.3008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stockton
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
40.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$969 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stockton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stockton
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stockton
7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stockton risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0003007.1Stocktonparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

SNAP participation runs 41.6% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $969, 39% below the Stockton average.

The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.7 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Stockton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077000300?

Census tract 06077000300 in Stockton scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077000300?

Median gross rent is $969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077000300?

40.1% of residents in tract 06077000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,298.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 99th, minority 87th, housing 75th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077000300 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077000300 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 06077000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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