Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077000401 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,856

Census tract 06077000401 covers part of Stockton, CA, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,856. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,169

Renter share51.0%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate21.5%

Median income$63,693

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9613, -121.3058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.5% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,508 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

16%Grade A
51%Grade B
29%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.4%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
22.4%Food insecurity
20.6%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
14.0%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. It sits 1.7 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 53% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,508, close to the Stockton average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,693.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077000401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077000401?

Census tract 06077000401 in Stockton scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077000401?

Median gross rent is $1,508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077000401?

21.5% of residents in tract 06077000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,856.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 72th, minority 77th, housing 80th.

What share of households in tract 06077000401 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077000401 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077000401 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06077000401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.