Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Cabrillo Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005310 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,440 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06077005310 is a census tract in the Cabrillo Park area of Tracy, CA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,440 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,191

Renter share50.1%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$92,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7589, -121.4202 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cabrillo Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tracy

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,944 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tracy

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tracy

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tracy

5.3

How Cabrillo Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.7%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
17.7%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
15.1%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cabrillo Park

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,944 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Tracy commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%. It sits 0.9 points below the San Joaquin County average of 6.8.

On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $92,813. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005310

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005310?

Census tract 06077005310 in the Cabrillo Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005310?

Median gross rent is $1,944/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005310?

6.1% of residents in tract 06077005310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005310?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 70th, minority 80th, housing 60th.

Is tract 06077005310 considered part of Cabrillo Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005310 fall within Cabrillo Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06077005310 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005310 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005310 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.