Cabrillo Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,944 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Tracy commands.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. The voucher gap is 12.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

That places it #5 of 20 neighborhoods in Tracy. For a like-for-like read, Newport Place and Foothill Vista score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $92,813. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.