California Marquis Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 57.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

It sits 1.6 points below the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.

At $2,730 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Tracy commands. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.