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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Fair Oaks Eviction Risk: High , Arroyo Grande

Tract 06079012002 · San Luis Obispo, CA · pop 4,699 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 06079012002 sits in the Fair Oaks area of Grover Beach, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.3/10. It is home to 4,699 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 27% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,776
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$65,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Fair Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Arroyo Grande
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 69 tracts In San Luis Obispo
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,143 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arroyo Grande and the region

Centroid at 35.1225, -120.6131 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fair Oaks scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arroyo Grande
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,865 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arroyo Grande
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arroyo Grande
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arroyo Grande
6.3

How Fair Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fair Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 0120026.6Arroyo Grandeparent city6.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fair Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fair Oaks

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $65,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.5/10.

Against the San Luis Obispo County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,865, 10% below the Grover Beach average.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06079012002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06079012002?

Census tract 06079012002 in the Fair Oaks neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06079012002?

Median gross rent is $1,865/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06079012002?

18.7% of residents in tract 06079012002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,699.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06079012002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 84th, minority 59th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 06079012002 considered part of Fair Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06079012002 fall within Fair Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06079012002 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06079012002 compare to Arroyo Grande overall?

Tract 06079012002 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Arroyo Grande at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arroyo Grande; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arroyo Grande

Top eight tracts in Arroyo Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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