Eastern Goleta Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 6.9/10.

At $3,245 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Eastern Goleta Valley commands. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 16%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.