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Neighborhood · Goleta, CA

Ellwood Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,684 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.7–7.2

Ellwood spans 2 census tracts of Goleta, CA and houses 6,684 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Goleta rate of 29.6%.

31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. At $2,272 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Goleta commands.

The closest comparables inside the same city are 67 Block and El Encanto Heights. Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $109,337.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Ellwood vs Goleta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.0% +66%
Goleta: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$2,272 -7%
Goleta: $2,437
Average HH income
$109,337 -7%
Goleta: $118,039
Poverty rate
14.6% +38%
Goleta: 10.6%
Renter share
56.3% +14%
Goleta: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.7–7.2

Why Ellwood scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
56% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Ellwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ellwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0EllwoodNeighborhood7.1Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Ellwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06083002934 7.2 3,597 45% $2,264
06083002935 6.7 3,087 53% $2,281
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ellwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ellwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ellwood?

Ellwood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ellwood compare to Goleta overall?

Ellwood scores 0.1 points lower than Goleta overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,272 vs $2,437.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ellwood?

Average gross rent in Ellwood is $2,272/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ellwood residents are renters?

56% of Ellwood households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Goleta). The neighborhood has 6,684 residents.
Q5

Is Ellwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Ellwood sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Ellwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ellwood is census tract 06083002934 (score 7.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.2, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Ellwood for landlords?

Ellwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goleta as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ellwood?

Ellwood has 6,828 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.4%), Hispanic / Latino (34.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ellwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goleta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ellwood.

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