Neighborhood · Goleta, CA

Ellwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,684 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5–5.4

Ellwood is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Goleta with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,684 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,272/month sits 7% lower than the Goleta citywide average ($2,437).

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Ellwood vs Goleta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.0% +66%

Goleta: 29.6%

Average gross rent

$2,272 -7%

Goleta: $2,437

Average HH income

$109,337 -7%

Goleta: $118,039

Poverty rate

14.6% +38%

Goleta: 10.6%

Renter share

56.3% +14%

Goleta: 49.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–5.4

Why Ellwood scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Ellwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Ellwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06083002934	5.4	3,597	45%	$2,264
06083002935	5	3,087	53%	$2,281

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 8%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 93%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ellwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.7%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
13.4%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
28.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Ellwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Ellwood?

Ellwood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Ellwood compare to Goleta overall?

Ellwood scores 2.6 points lower than Goleta overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,272 vs $2,437.

What is the average rent in Ellwood?

Average gross rent in Ellwood is $2,272/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Ellwood residents are renters?

56% of Ellwood households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Goleta). The neighborhood has 6,684 residents.

Is Ellwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Ellwood sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Ellwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ellwood is census tract 06083002934 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.4, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Ellwood for landlords?

Ellwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goleta as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Ellwood?

Ellwood has 6,828 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.4%), Hispanic / Latino (34.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ellwood

6.8 67 Block 2 tracts · pop 9,911 7.2 65 Block 3 tracts · pop 13,335 3.5 Las Positas 3 tracts · pop 13,932 5.8 Upper State 4 tracts · pop 15,095 6.5 Westside 7 tracts · pop 28,341 5.9 The Mesa 3 tracts · pop 11,391

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Goleta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ellwood.

6.1 67 Block 2 tracts · pop 9,911 4.3 El Encanto Heights 1 tracts · pop 5,462

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