Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Ellwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goleta
Tract 06083002934 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 3,597 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Ellwood neighborhood of Goleta is where census tract 06083002934 sits, home to 3,597 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. That is riskier than about 66% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,264 a month against an average household income of $121,513 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,460
Renter share44.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$121,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4276, -119.8941 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellwood scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$2,264 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How Ellwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellwood
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goleta, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083002934
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002934?
Census tract 06083002934 in the Ellwood neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083002934?
Median gross rent is $2,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002934?
19.9% of residents in tract 06083002934 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,597.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002934?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 4th, minority 70th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 06083002934 considered part of Ellwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06083002934 fall within Ellwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06083002934 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06083002934 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083002934 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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