East Morrissey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Cruz
Tract 06087100100 ·
Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,253 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 06087100100 sits in the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 2,253. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 8%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units731
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$149,408
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83th percentile
#2 of 7 tracts In East Morrissey
High
Within parent city
39th percentile
#9 of 14 tracts In Santa Cruz
Low
Within county
68th percentile
#23 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Elevated
Within state
56th percentile
#4,025 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region
Centroid at 36.9958, -121.9991 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Morrissey scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santa Cruz
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$3,266 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santa Cruz
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santa Cruz
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santa Cruz
7.5
How East Morrissey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
34%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.3%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Average gross rent is $3,266, 33% above the Santa Cruz average.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $149,408.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087100100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100100?
Census tract 06087100100 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087100100?
Median gross rent is $3,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100100?
15.8% of residents in tract 06087100100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,253.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 12th, minority 46th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 06087100100 considered part of East Morrissey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100100 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087100100 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087100100 compare to Santa Cruz overall?
Tract 06087100100 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz
Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.