Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Le Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Redding

Tract 06089011401 · Shasta, CA · pop 4,288 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06089011401 (Le Mesa in Redding, California) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,455 a month while the average household earns $87,808 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,532

Renter share27.2%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$87,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Redding and the region

Centroid at 40.5489, -122.3357 · click any tract to drill in

Why Le Mesa scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Redding

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,455 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Redding

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Redding

8.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Redding

6.5

How Le Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.4%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Le Mesa

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Redding, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shasta County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06089011401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06089011401?

Census tract 06089011401 in the Le Mesa neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06089011401?

Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06089011401?

6.1% of residents in tract 06089011401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,288.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06089011401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 55th, minority 42th, housing 38th.

Is tract 06089011401 considered part of Le Mesa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06089011401 fall within Le Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06089011401 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06089011401 compare to Redding overall?

Tract 06089011401 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Redding at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Redding; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Redding

Top eight tracts in Redding ranked by composite eviction-risk score.