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Neighborhood · Vallejo, CA

Northgate Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,668 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Northgate is a one-tract neighborhood of Vallejo, CA, population 3,668. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, Elevated tier. Against a Vallejo baseline of 35.1%, 12% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $3,058 a month, rents sit 48% over what the rest of Vallejo commands. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 26.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #6 of 6 neighborhoods in Vallejo.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $171,635.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs Vallejo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
11.7% -67%
Vallejo: 35.1%
Average gross rent
$3,058 +48%
Vallejo: $2,073
Average HH income
$171,635 +92%
Vallejo: $89,496
Poverty rate
3.7% -69%
Vallejo: 12.0%
Renter share
12.5% -71%
Vallejo: 42.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Northgate scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
12% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Risk score comparison

Northgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0NorthgateNeighborhood7.4Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Northgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06095250106 6 3,668 12% $3,058
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?

Northgate scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northgate compare to Vallejo overall?

Northgate scores 1.4 points lower than Vallejo overall (7.4/10). Renters spend 12% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $3,058 vs $2,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northgate?

Average gross rent in Northgate is $3,058/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?

13% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Vallejo). The neighborhood has 3,668 residents.
Q5

Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Northgate sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Northgate for landlords?

Northgate carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vallejo as a whole (7.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?

Northgate has 3,646 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (44%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vallejo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northgate.

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