Neighborhood · Modesto, CA

Shackelford Eviction Risk: Elevated

7 census tracts · pop 29,630 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 6–8.6

Shackelford is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Modesto with 7 census tracts and a population of 29,630 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,429/month sits 15% lower than the Modesto citywide average ($1,690).

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

7 tracts · population-weighted

Shackelford vs Modesto How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.7% +70%

Modesto: 34.0%

Average gross rent

$1,429 -15%

Modesto: $1,690

Average HH income

$52,091 -33%

Modesto: $77,899

Poverty rate

24.5% +89%

Modesto: 13.0%

Renter share

51.8% +26%

Modesto: 41.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shackelford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 6–8.6

Why Shackelford scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 7.9–9.6 across tracts

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.7 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 8.3–9.7 across tracts

8.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.8–9.6 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

24.5% below poverty line · Range 2.7–10.0 across tracts

6.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–7.2 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Shackelford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shackelford?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.6 points from 6 to 8.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

8.6 8.0 7.7 7.5 6.5 6.2 6.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in Shackelford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06099002402	8.6	5,318	53%	$1,354
06099001604	8	3,656	71%	$1,225
06099002200	7.7	5,403	57%	$1,352
06099002304	7.5	3,217	47%	$1,023
06099002506	6.5	2,138	71%	$1,335
06099002303	6.2	5,792	61%	$1,613
06099002401	6	4,106	50%	$1,913

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 80%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shackelford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

31.3%Housing insecurity
16.9%Utility shutoff threat
40.3%Food insecurity
39.3%SNAP enrollment
26.2%No health insurance
44.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Shackelford

What is the eviction-risk score for Shackelford?

Shackelford scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Shackelford compare to Modesto overall?

Shackelford scores 0.8 points lower than Modesto overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,429 vs $1,690.

What is the average rent in Shackelford?

Average gross rent in Shackelford is $1,429/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Shackelford residents are renters?

52% of Shackelford households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Modesto). The neighborhood has 29,630 residents.

Is Shackelford a high social-vulnerability area?

Shackelford sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Shackelford have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shackelford is census tract 06099002402 (score 8.6/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 8.6, a spread of 2.6 points.

How safe is Shackelford for landlords?

Shackelford carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Modesto as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Shackelford?

Shackelford has 28,764 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (84.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shackelford

7.7 Bystrom 3 tracts · pop 12,732 6.2 Creek Canyon 2 tracts · pop 12,651

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