Skip to content
Neighborhood · Newman, CA

Creek Canyon Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 12,651 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.5–7.3

Creek Canyon spans 2 census tracts of Newman, CA and houses 12,651 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Newman baseline of 37.9%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 23.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

At $1,262 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Newman commands. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $74,949.

With little internal variation, 6.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Creek Canyon vs Newman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.6% +20%
Newman: 37.9%
Average gross rent
$1,262 -11%
Newman: $1,420
Average HH income
$74,949 -1%
Newman: $75,344
Poverty rate
14.3% +8%
Newman: 13.3%
Renter share
25.7% -25%
Newman: 34.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Creek Canyon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–7.3

Why Creek Canyon scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
14.3% below poverty line · Range 2.9–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–4.0 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Creek Canyon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Creek Canyon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9Creek CanyonNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Creek Canyon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06099003502 7.3 5,593 32% $1,077
06099003501 6.5 7,058 57% $1,409
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Creek Canyon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Creek Canyon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Creek Canyon?

Creek Canyon scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Creek Canyon compare to Newman overall?

Creek Canyon scores 0.4 points higher than Newman overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,262 vs $1,420.
Q3

What is the average rent in Creek Canyon?

Average gross rent in Creek Canyon is $1,262/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Creek Canyon residents are renters?

26% of Creek Canyon households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Newman). The neighborhood has 12,651 residents.
Q5

Is Creek Canyon a high social-vulnerability area?

Creek Canyon sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Creek Canyon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Creek Canyon is census tract 06099003502 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.3, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Creek Canyon for landlords?

Creek Canyon carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newman as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Creek Canyon?

Creek Canyon has 12,701 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (70.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Creek Canyon

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further