Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Commerce City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 08001008709 · Adams County, CO · pop 8,251
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 08001008709 in Commerce City, CO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,251 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,757
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate25.7%
Median income$56,182
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Commerce City and the region
Centroid at 39.8001, -104.9176 · click any tract to drill in
Why Commerce City scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Commerce City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
25.7% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,292 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Commerce City
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Commerce City
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Commerce City
4.7
How Commerce City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 434Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2006)
- 56Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Commerce City
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.3% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
At $1,292 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Commerce City commands. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Adams County average of 50.4%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Adams County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 434 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 12.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08001008709
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001008709?
Census tract 08001008709 in Commerce City scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08001008709?
Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08001008709?
25.7% of residents in tract 08001008709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08001008709?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 99th, minority 86th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001008709?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 434 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08001008709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.49% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 08001008709 compare to Commerce City overall?
Tract 08001008709 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Commerce City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Commerce City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Commerce City
Top eight tracts in Commerce City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08001008705
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001008706
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001988700
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001008901
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Buffalo Mesa
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Foxton Village
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001008535
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Reunion
3
/ 10 · Low
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