Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,747 of 84,120 nationally
Buffalo Mesa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Commerce City
Tract 08001008536 · Adams County, CO · pop 4,679 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 08001008536 sits in the Buffalo Mesa neighborhood of Commerce City, Colorado. It has a population of 4,679 and an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). 49% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 9% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,469/month against a median household income of $141,055 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$141,055
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Commerce City and the region
Centroid at 39.9042, -104.7948 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buffalo Mesa scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Commerce City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,469 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Commerce City
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Commerce City
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Commerce City
4.7
How Buffalo Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2006)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Frequently asked
About tract 08001008536
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001008536?
Census tract 08001008536 in the Buffalo Mesa neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08001008536?
Median gross rent is $2,469/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08001008536?
12.2% of residents in tract 08001008536 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,679.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08001008536?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 26th, minority 61th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 08001008536 considered part of Buffalo Mesa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001008536 fall within Buffalo Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001008536?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 08001008536 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.33% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08001008536 compare to Commerce City overall?
Tract 08001008536 scores 6.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Commerce City at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Commerce City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Commerce City
Top eight tracts in Commerce City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08001008705
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001008709
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001008553
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Foxton Village
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001008706
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Turnberry
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001008535
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001988700
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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