Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Buffalo Mesa Eviction Risk: Lower , Commerce City
Tract 08001008536 · Adams County, CO · pop 4,679 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 08001008536 in the Buffalo Mesa area of Commerce City ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,679 residents. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,469 a month while the average household earns $141,055 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$141,055
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Commerce City and the region
Centroid at 39.9042, -104.7948 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buffalo Mesa scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Commerce City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,469 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Commerce City
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Commerce City
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Commerce City
4.7
How Buffalo Mesa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2006)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buffalo Mesa
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Commerce City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Adams County average of 6.3 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 7.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.3% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 08001008536
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08001008536?
Census tract 08001008536 in the Buffalo Mesa neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08001008536?
Median gross rent is $2,469/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08001008536?
12.2% of residents in tract 08001008536 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,679.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08001008536?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 26th, minority 61th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 08001008536 considered part of Buffalo Mesa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08001008536 fall within Buffalo Mesa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08001008536?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 08001008536 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.33% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08001008536 compare to Commerce City overall?
Tract 08001008536 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Commerce City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Commerce City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Commerce City
Top eight tracts in Commerce City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08001008709
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001008705
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001008706
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001988700
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001008901
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Foxton Village
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001008535
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001008553
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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