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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Terry Lake Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001308 · Larimer County, CO · pop 5,777 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 08069001308 (the Terry Lake Shores neighborhood of Fort Collins, Colorado) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

77% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,031 a month against an average household income of $106,641 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 5% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,352
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$106,641

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Terry Lake Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#379 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.6355, -105.0468 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terry Lake Shores scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,031 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Terry Lake Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terry Lake Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 001308Fort Collins: 5.45.4Fort Collinsparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2010)
  • 1Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terry Lake Shores

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Larimer County average of 5.4 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.4% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001308?

Census tract 08069001308 in the Terry Lake Shores neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001308?

Median gross rent is $2,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001308?

12.0% of residents in tract 08069001308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,777.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 21th, minority 17th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001308 considered part of Terry Lake Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001308 fall within Terry Lake Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001308?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001308 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.40% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001308 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001308 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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