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Neighborhood · Fort Collins, CO

Terry Lake Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,777 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Terry Lake Shores maps to a single census tract in Fort Collins, CO, population 5,777. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 53%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

77% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Fort Collins rate of 33.7%. The voucher gap is 19.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,031 a month, rents sit 20% over what the rest of Fort Collins commands.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 3/10. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 0.4% of renter households. Among the 27 mapped neighborhoods of Fort Collins, it ranks #16 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 0.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $106,641.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Terry Lake Shores vs Fort Collins How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
77.1% +129%
Fort Collins: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$2,031 +20%
Fort Collins: $1,690
Average HH income
$106,641 +28%
Fort Collins: $83,598
Poverty rate
12.0% -25%
Fort Collins: 16.0%
Renter share
21.0% -57%
Fort Collins: 48.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Terry Lake Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Terry Lake Shores scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
77% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
12.0% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Risk score comparison

Terry Lake Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Terry Lake Shores score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Terry Lake ShoresNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Terry Lake Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08069001308 5.6 5,777 77% $2,031
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Terry Lake Shores

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 0.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak year (2010)
  • 0.40%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About Terry Lake Shores

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Terry Lake Shores?

Terry Lake Shores scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Terry Lake Shores compare to Fort Collins overall?

Terry Lake Shores scores 0.3 points lower than Fort Collins overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,031 vs $1,690.
Q3

What is the average rent in Terry Lake Shores?

Average gross rent in Terry Lake Shores is $2,031/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Terry Lake Shores residents are renters?

21% of Terry Lake Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Fort Collins). The neighborhood has 5,777 residents.
Q5

Is Terry Lake Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Terry Lake Shores sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Terry Lake Shores for landlords?

Terry Lake Shores carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Collins as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Terry Lake Shores?

Terry Lake Shores has 5,741 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7%), Other / Multiracial (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Terry Lake Shores

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Collins

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Terry Lake Shores.

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