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Northwest Harwinton, Connecticut eviction risk overview
City brief · 3,088 residents

Northwest Harwinton, CT Eviction Risk: LOW

Litchfield County · Population 3,088

In 2026
Risk score
3.6
LOW

0th percentile, Connecticut.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.3 Average2.6 Now3.6
10 5 1976 · score 1.3 1977 · score 1.3 1978 · score 1.3 1979 · score 1.3 1980 · score 1.4 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.5 1983 · score 1.4 1984 · score 1.4 1985 · score 1.4 1986 · score 1.4 1987 · score 1.4 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.9 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 2.4 1997 · score 2.4 1998 · score 2.5 1999 · score 2.5 2000 · score 2.6 2001 · score 2.7 2002 · score 2.8 2003 · score 2.8 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.7 2007 · score 2.7 2008 · score 3.3 2009 · score 3.4 2010 · score 3.4 2011 · score 3.5 2012 · score 3.3 2013 · score 3.3 2014 · score 3.3 2015 · score 3.4 2016 · score 3.2 2017 · score 3.3 2018 · score 3.5 2019 · score 3.5 2020 · score 4.2 2021 · score 4.2 2022 · score 4.3 2023 · score 4.3 2024 · score 4.2 2025 · score 4.0 2026 · score 3.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 3.8 Regional 5.2 State 5.8 Economic 4.9 Supply 5.6 Rent Control 1.8 Eviction 5.6 Tenant 3.0 Housing 2.6 3.6 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +5.1% (2020)
    3.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.2
  3. State political climate
    Connecticut legislature & governorship
    5.8
  4. Economic stress
    5.5% poverty · 4.7% unemp.
    4.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,446 average · 9.1% renters
    5.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    17.8% of income on rent
    1.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    143 days filing → judgment
    5.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    9.1% renters
    3.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwest Harwinton and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Northwest Harwinton compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Litchfield County
Very Low
#27 of 27 cities
Rank in county, 0th percentileBottomTop
#27 of 27 cities in Litchfield County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Connecticut
Very Low
#214 of 214 cities
Rank in state, 0th percentileBottomTop
#214 of 214 cities in Connecticut for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Northwest Harwinton risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Northwest Harwinto: 3.63.6Northwest HarwintoThis cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.6
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 143d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,446/mo. A contested eviction takes 143 days and costs $5,253-$14,875 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 9.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 3,088 residents, 9.1% rent. 18% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.5% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 3.8 and 5.2 (GOP margin +5.1% (2020)). State climate at 5.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.6, housing court bias 2.6, rent-control risk 1.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.9. Supply constraint: 5.6. The numbers behind those: 5.5% poverty, 4.7% unemployment, 18% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Northwest Harwinton sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Bridgeport, CT · 150d · ~$11.5k all-in ($77/day) · score 5.9 Bridgeport New Haven, CT · 136d · ~$11.1k all-in ($81/day) · score 6.5 New Haven Hartford, CT · 133d · ~$11.1k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.5 Hartford Waterbury, CT · 129d · ~$9.9k all-in ($76/day) · score 6.2 Waterbury Danbury, CT · 130d · ~$9.1k all-in ($70/day) · score 5.9 Danbury New Britain, CT · 151d · ~$10.5k all-in ($70/day) · score 6.5 New Britain West Hartford, CT · 150d · ~$11.3k all-in ($75/day) · score 6 West Hartford Bristol, CT · 138d · ~$9.6k all-in ($69/day) · score 6.3 Bristol Meriden, CT · 127d · ~$10.7k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.4 Meriden West Haven, CT · 133d · ~$10.9k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.5 West Haven Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Northwest Harwinton
Northwest Harwinton · 143d · ~$10.1k all-in ($70/day) · score 3.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Northwest Harwinton, CT

Landlording in Northwest Harwinton, Connecticut, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Northwest Harwinton is a city of 3,088 residents where 9.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 17.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,446/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Northwest Harwinton eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Northwest Harwinton closes 143 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Northwest Harwinton's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Northwest Harwinton runs $5,253 to $14,875 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 143 days of typical timeline and $1,446/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3/10 in Northwest Harwinton, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Connecticut, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Northwest Harwinton: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Connecticut's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $14,875 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,232 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.80× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 16,835 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 98,107.

  • 1,232Past month
  • 16,835Past 12 months
  • 0.80×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $175 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 1,625 filings (1.02× hist)2023-06-01: 1,819 filings (1.07× hist)2023-07-01: 1,678 filings (0.96× hist)2023-08-01: 1,941 filings (1.05× hist)2023-09-01: 1,695 filings (0.97× hist)2023-10-01: 1,904 filings (1.03× hist)2023-11-01: 1,763 filings (1.08× hist)2023-12-01: 1,612 filings (0.98× hist)2024-01-01: 1,742 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 1,519 filings (0.96× hist)2024-03-01: 1,634 filings (0.97× hist)2024-04-01: 1,631 filings (1.06× hist)2024-05-01: 1,554 filings (0.98× hist)2024-06-01: 1,585 filings (0.93× hist)2024-07-01: 1,833 filings (1.04× hist)2024-08-01: 1,749 filings (0.95× hist)2024-09-01: 1,808 filings (1.03× hist)2024-10-01: 1,813 filings (0.98× hist)2024-11-01: 1,495 filings (0.92× hist)2024-12-01: 1,694 filings (1.02× hist)2025-01-01: 1,621 filings (0.93× hist)2025-02-01: 1,493 filings (0.96× hist)2025-03-01: 1,668 filings (0.99× hist)2025-04-01: 1,373 filings (0.89× hist)2025-05-01: 1,318 filings (0.83× hist)2025-06-01: 1,376 filings (0.81× hist)2025-07-01: 1,452 filings (0.83× hist)2025-08-01: 1,446 filings (0.78× hist)2025-09-01: 1,595 filings (0.91× hist)2025-10-01: 1,504 filings (0.81× hist)2025-11-01: 1,253 filings (0.77× hist)2025-12-01: 1,444 filings (0.87× hist)2026-01-01: 1,476 filings (0.85× hist)2026-02-01: 1,332 filings (0.86× hist)2026-03-01: 1,407 filings (0.83× hist)2026-04-01: 1,232 filings (0.80× hist)
Filings dropped 7% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for non-payment?

The 3-day notice is just the start. Even with a perfectly executed process and no tenant defense, you're looking at least 30-45 days before you might get a court order for possession, and then more time for the marshal to execute it. Realistically, expect closer to the 143-day average. "Fast" is not a word often used with Connecticut evictions.

Q2

Can I just offer them money to leave?

Yes, absolutely. This is called "cash for keys." It's often your best bet in Northwest Harwinton, given the long eviction timeline and high costs. Offer a reasonable sum (e.g., $500-$1,500) for them to vacate by a specific date, leave the property clean, and hand over the keys. Get this agreement in writing, signed by both parties. It can save you months of headaches and thousands of dollars.

Q3

Do I really need an attorney for an eviction?

For filing the lawsuit and navigating court, yes, you absolutely should. While you can serve the initial 3-day notice yourself, the court process for a Summary Process action is complex. One mistake in paperwork or procedure can cause significant delays or even dismissal, forcing you to start over. The cost of an attorney is an investment to protect your property and income.

Q4

What if my tenant claims they lost their job?

Sympathy is fine, but it doesn't pay the rent. You can offer a payment plan or suggest they seek local assistance programs. However, if they cannot pay, you still need to follow the eviction process. Remember the statewide source-of-income protection; if they have a new legal income source, you cannot discriminate against it.

Q5

Can I charge a late fee for rent?

Yes, your lease should clearly state your late fee policy. In Connecticut, late fees must be reasonable and cannot exceed a certain percentage (typically 5% of the monthly rent). Ensure your lease specifies when rent is considered late and the exact fee amount. Be consistent in applying it.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.6/10 places Northwest Harwinton in the 0th percentile of Connecticut cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.