Neighborhood · Dover, DE

Capitol Green Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,135 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.5–6.5

Capitol Green is a black-white neighborhood in Dover with 1 census tract and a population of 2,135 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $967/month sits 28% lower than the Dover citywide average ($1,344).

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Capitol Green vs Dover How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.5% +68%

Dover: 34.3%

Average gross rent

$967 -28%

Dover: $1,344

Average HH income

$37,050 -36%

Dover: $58,336

Poverty rate

35.2% +101%

Dover: 17.5%

Renter share

69.4% +31%

Dover: 53.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitol Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.5–6.5

Why Capitol Green scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

69% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

35.2% below poverty line · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts

8.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

Capitol Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Capitol Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
10001041300	6.5	2,135	58%	$967

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 97%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 43%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Capitol Green

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

800Total filings (sum)
13.98%Avg annual filing rate
18.3%Peak year (2016)
13.00%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Capitol Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

23.3%Housing insecurity
17.2%Utility shutoff threat
30.6%Food insecurity
33.9%SNAP enrollment
13.3%No health insurance
44.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Capitol Green

What is the eviction-risk score for Capitol Green?

Capitol Green scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Capitol Green compare to Dover overall?

Capitol Green scores 2.0 points higher than Dover overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $967 vs $1,344.

What is the average rent in Capitol Green?

Average gross rent in Capitol Green is $967/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Capitol Green residents are renters?

69% of Capitol Green households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Dover). The neighborhood has 2,135 residents.

Is Capitol Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Capitol Green sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Capitol Green for landlords?

Capitol Green carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dover as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Capitol Green?

Capitol Green has 2,034 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (49.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.9%), Other / Multiracial (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Capitol Green

3.7 Grand Oaks 2 tracts · pop 7,071 1.9 George Meyers Development 2 tracts · pop 10,600

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dover

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Capitol Green.

6.1 Sherwood 1 tracts · pop 3,626 6.1 Woodcrest 1 tracts · pop 6,276 5.8 Fairview 1 tracts · pop 2,334 5.6 Mayfair 1 tracts · pop 4,491 5.3 Dupont Manor 1 tracts · pop 4,777 5.1 Oak Grove 1 tracts · pop 7,176

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