1 census tracts · pop 4,491 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 5.3–5.3
Mayfair is a one-tract neighborhood of Dover, DE and houses 4,491 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, Moderate tier. Against a Dover baseline of 34.3%, 66% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,116 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Dover commands.
The filing record is not thin: 1,671 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 27.9% of renter households.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 23.7% in 2018 against a 27.9% peak.
Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Dover, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Woodcrest and Fairview score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mayfair vs DoverHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Mayfair
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,671Total filings (sum)
32.40%Avg annual filing rate
27.9%Peak year (2017)
23.69%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mayfair
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.3%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
38.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Mayfair
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mayfair?
Mayfair scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mayfair compare to Dover overall?
Mayfair scores 1.3 points higher than Dover overall (4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,116 vs $1,344.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mayfair?
Average gross rent in Mayfair is $1,116/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mayfair residents are renters?
38% of Mayfair households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Dover). The neighborhood has 4,491 residents.
Q5
Is Mayfair a high social-vulnerability area?
Mayfair sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Mayfair for landlords?
Mayfair carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dover as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Mayfair?
Mayfair has 4,283 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
