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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dover

Tract 10001041000 · Kent County, DE · pop 7,176 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Oak Grove area of Dover is where census tract 10001041000 sits, home to 7,176 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,333 a month while the average household earns $60,947 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 38% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,941
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$60,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oak Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 13 tracts In Dover
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 41 tracts In Kent County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1589, -75.4717 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Oak Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 041000Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,320Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 25.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.1%Peak (2014)
  • 339Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100010410002010: 258 filings (21.45/100 renter HHs)2011: 332 filings (21.91/100 renter HHs)2012: 345 filings (22.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 407 filings (26.86/100 renter HHs)2014: 456 filings (30.10/100 renter HHs)2015: 447 filings (29.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 354 filings (24.18/100 renter HHs)2017: 382 filings (26.09/100 renter HHs)2018: 339 filings (23.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kent County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041000?

Census tract 10001041000 in the Oak Grove neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041000?

Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041000?

14.4% of residents in tract 10001041000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,176.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 95th, minority 74th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 10001041000 considered part of Oak Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041000 fall within Oak Grove (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001041000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,320 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001041000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.11% of renter households, peaking at 30.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 10001041000 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 10001041000 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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