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Neighborhood · Newark, DE

Arbour Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,856 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.5–5.5

Arbour Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Newark, DE, population 4,856. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 47%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Average gross rent is $2,157, 30% above the Newark average of $1,654. The voucher gap is 19.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.5 to 5.5, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

Filings are well documented here: 417 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 52% of renter households.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 20.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 14.0% in 2018 against a 20.0% peak.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $92,352.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Arbour Park vs Newark How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.0% +2%
Newark: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$2,157 +30%
Newark: $1,654
Average HH income
$92,352 +29%
Newark: $71,373
Poverty rate
17.3% -36%
Newark: 27.1%
Renter share
32.3% -34%
Newark: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbour Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–5.5

Why Arbour Park scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
17.3% below poverty line · Range 3.4–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–9.7 across tracts
7.0
Risk score comparison

Arbour Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arbour Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Arbour ParkNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Arbour Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003014402 5.5 2,875 59% $1,822
10003014702 4.5 1,981 41% $2,643
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arbour Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 9.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 12.10%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 166Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arbour Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arbour Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arbour Park?

Arbour Park scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arbour Park compare to Newark overall?

Arbour Park scores 0.7 points higher than Newark overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $2,157 vs $1,654.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arbour Park?

Average gross rent in Arbour Park is $2,157/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arbour Park residents are renters?

32% of Arbour Park households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Newark). The neighborhood has 4,856 residents.
Q5

Is Arbour Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Arbour Park sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arbour Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arbour Park is census tract 10003014402 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Arbour Park for landlords?

Arbour Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newark as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arbour Park?

Arbour Park has 4,826 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.7%), Other / Multiracial (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arbour Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newark

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arbour Park.

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