Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003014404 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,259 · 73% of tract blocks fall in Newark
Census tract 10003014404 covers part of Newark, DE, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,259. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,467
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$88,187
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 39.6757, -75.7821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,889 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
4.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2018)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 420% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 125Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Court records carry 175 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,889, 14% above the Newark average. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2018 at 9.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014404?
Census tract 10003014404 in Newark scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014404?
Median gross rent is $1,889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014404?
21.4% of residents in tract 10003014404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,259.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 11th, minority 62th, housing 35th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.22% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003014404 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003014404 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 10003014404 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
10003014501
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014502
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
10003014403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Academy Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Arbour Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
10003014200
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · DE
Waters Edge
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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