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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Duckpond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 12001000301 · Alachua County, FL · pop 4,034 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12001000301 belongs to the Duckpond neighborhood of Gainesville, Florida. It is home to 4,034 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $942 a month while the average household earns $47,813 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 49% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,855
Renter share77.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate32.0%
Median income$47,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Duckpond
Very High
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
Elevated
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#130 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6680, -82.3314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duckpond scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.0% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Duckpond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duckpond risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000301Gainesville: 2.92.9Gainesvilleparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 329Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 3.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2002)
  • 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120010003012002: 62 filings (6.03/100 renter HHs)2012: 47 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 34 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2014: 39 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 35 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2017: 39 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2018: 38 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 295Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.54× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.36× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (6.77× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.39× baseline)2022-11-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (3.76× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2023-06-01: 9 filings (3.37× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (1.36× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (1.15× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (2.08× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (6.77× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-09-01: 7 filings (1.62× baseline)2024-10-01: 12 filings (2.77× baseline)2024-11-01: 21 filings (8.40× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 11 filings (8.27× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 14 filings (5.24× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (2.15× baseline)2025-08-01: 5 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (1.39× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Duckpond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duckpond

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alachua County average of 4.9 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.51x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001000301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001000301?

Census tract 12001000301 in the Duckpond neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001000301?

Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001000301?

32.0% of residents in tract 12001000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001000301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 36th, minority 61th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 12001000301 considered part of Duckpond?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001000301 fall within Duckpond (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001000301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001000301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.29% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12001000301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12001000301 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001000301 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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