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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

University Village South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 12001001522 · Alachua County, FL · pop 6,424 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 12001001522 covers part of the University Village South area of Gainesville, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,424 residents. 67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Alachua County average of 50.9%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 30% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units4,058
Renter share91.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$35,246

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In University Village South
Moderate
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6317, -82.3830 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Village South scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How University Village South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Village South risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0015224.0Gainesvilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 829Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Village South

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $35,246 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Alachua County average of 4.1. Average gross rent is $1,184, 9% below the Gainesville average.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001001522

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001001522?

Census tract 12001001522 in the University Village South neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001001522?

Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001001522?

33.3% of residents in tract 12001001522 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,424.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001001522?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 3th, minority 59th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 12001001522 considered part of University Village South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001001522 fall within University Village South (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12001001522 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12001001522 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001001522 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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