Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002608 · Bay, FL · pop 3,643
12005002608 is a census tract in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,643. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,748
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$92,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1485, -85.7202 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,054 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.3
How Upper Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 9 yrs
- 2.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2018)
- 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon
Against Bay County at 54.8%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 27.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,054, 23% above the Upper Grand Lagoon average. Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Against the Bay County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2018 at 5.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002608
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002608?
Census tract 12005002608 in Upper Grand Lagoon scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002608?
Median gross rent is $2,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002608?
4.7% of residents in tract 12005002608 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,643.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002608?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 37th, minority 13th, housing 21th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002608?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12005002608 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.52% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12005002608 compare to Upper Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002608 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Upper Grand Lagoon at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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