Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002609 · Bay, FL · pop 5,630
Eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon centers on tract 12005002609, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,630 residents. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,617 monthly, set against $76,600 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,364
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$76,600
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1899, -85.7529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Grand Lagoon scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,617 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon
6.3
How Upper Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Grand Lagoon
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bay County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002609
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002609?
Census tract 12005002609 in Upper Grand Lagoon scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002609?
Median gross rent is $1,617/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002609?
10.3% of residents in tract 12005002609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,630.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002609?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 84th, minority 44th, housing 96th.
Q5
How does tract 12005002609 compare to Upper Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002609 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Upper Grand Lagoon at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Upper Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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