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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12005002605 · Bay, FL · pop 1,881 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Lower Grand Lagoon

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12005002605 in Lower Grand Lagoon, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 11% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units864
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$78,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lower Grand Lagoon
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 49 tracts In Bay
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Grand Lagoon and the region

Centroid at 30.1613, -85.7806 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
5.4

How Lower Grand Lagoon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Grand Lagoon risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0026053.6Lower Grand Lagoonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 182Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2018)
  • 28Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12005002605
Filings climbed 17% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Grand Lagoon

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Bay County average of 54.8%.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 182 evictions over 10 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2018, when 9.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,268, close to the Lower Grand Lagoon average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $78,333.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12005002605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002605?

Census tract 12005002605 in Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12005002605?

Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002605?

15.8% of residents in tract 12005002605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,881.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 71th, minority 31th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002605?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12005002605 compare to Lower Grand Lagoon overall?

Tract 12005002605 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lower Grand Lagoon at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon

Top eight tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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