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Neighborhood · Melbourne, FL

The Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,064 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.7–5.4

The Pines spans 3 census tracts of Melbourne, FL and houses 11,064 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Against a Melbourne baseline of 34.5%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $59,725 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.7 to 5.4. A 1.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Melbourne, it ranks #7 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are West Melbourne Landings and Eau Gallie.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,609, close to the Melbourne average. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
The Pines vs Melbourne How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.2% +60%
Melbourne: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,609 +6%
Melbourne: $1,525
Average HH income
$59,725 -7%
Melbourne: $64,504
Poverty rate
17.9% +20%
Melbourne: 15.0%
Renter share
59.9% +49%
Melbourne: 40.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.7–5.4

Why The Pines scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.8 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.7 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 4.8–8.1 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–7.1 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
17.9% below poverty line · Range 2.3–7.0 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

The Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Pines: 4.64.6The PinesNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Pines?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 3.7 to 5.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in The Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12009065126 5.4 3,021 64% $1,547
12009065128 5.1 3,542 63% $1,303
12009065127 3.7 4,501 43% $1,892
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About The Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Pines?

The Pines scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Pines compare to Melbourne overall?

The Pines scores 0.6 points higher than Melbourne overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,609 vs $1,525.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Pines?

Average gross rent in The Pines is $1,609/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Pines residents are renters?

60% of The Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Melbourne). The neighborhood has 11,064 residents.
Q5

Is The Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

The Pines sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Pines have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Pines is census tract 12009065126 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.4, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is The Pines for landlords?

The Pines carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Melbourne as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Pines?

The Pines has 11,105 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Hispanic / Latino (13.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Pines

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Melbourne

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Pines.

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