Neighborhood · Green Cove Springs, FL

Magnolia Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,730 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 1.6–4

Magnolia Springs is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Green Cove Springs with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,730 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,478/month sits 33% higher than the Green Cove Springs citywide average ($1,114).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Magnolia Springs vs Green Cove Springs How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.0% +91%

Green Cove Springs: 22.5%

Average gross rent

$1,478 +33%

Green Cove Springs: $1,114

Average HH income

$69,087 +3%

Green Cove Springs: $66,907

Poverty rate

11.8% +13%

Green Cove Springs: 10.4%

Renter share

22.7% -35%

Green Cove Springs: 35.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Magnolia Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.6–4

Why Magnolia Springs scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

11.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.5 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–5.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Magnolia Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Magnolia Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12019031400	4	6,090	45%	$1,271
12019031302	1.6	3,640	40%	$1,825

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 81%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Magnolia Springs

What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Springs?

Magnolia Springs scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Magnolia Springs compare to Green Cove Springs overall?

Magnolia Springs scores 1.0 points higher than Green Cove Springs overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $1,478 vs $1,114.

What is the average rent in Magnolia Springs?

Average gross rent in Magnolia Springs is $1,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Magnolia Springs residents are renters?

23% of Magnolia Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Green Cove Springs). The neighborhood has 9,730 residents.

Is Magnolia Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Magnolia Springs sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Magnolia Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Magnolia Springs is census tract 12019031400 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.6 to 4, a spread of 2.4 points.

How safe is Magnolia Springs for landlords?

Magnolia Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Green Cove Springs as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Springs?

Magnolia Springs has 9,874 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Magnolia Springs

2.1 Oakleaf 3 tracts · pop 26,356

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