2 census tracts · pop 9,730 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 3–4.9
Magnolia Springs is a 2-tract neighborhood of Green Cove Springs, FL, population 9,730. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Green Cove Springs baseline of 22.5%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
At $1,478 a month, rents sit 33% over what the rest of Green Cove Springs commands. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.9. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $69,087.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Magnolia Springs vs Green Cove SpringsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Magnolia Springs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Springs?
Magnolia Springs scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Magnolia Springs compare to Green Cove Springs overall?
Magnolia Springs scores 0.7 points higher than Green Cove Springs overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $1,478 vs $1,114.
Q3
What is the average rent in Magnolia Springs?
Average gross rent in Magnolia Springs is $1,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Magnolia Springs residents are renters?
23% of Magnolia Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Green Cove Springs). The neighborhood has 9,730 residents.
Q5
Is Magnolia Springs a high social-vulnerability area?
Magnolia Springs sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Magnolia Springs have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Magnolia Springs is census tract 12019031400 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.9, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Magnolia Springs for landlords?
Magnolia Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Green Cove Springs as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Springs?
Magnolia Springs has 9,874 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
