Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Green Cove Springs
Tract 12019031302 · Clay, FL · pop 3,640 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 12019031302 sits in the Magnolia Springs area of Green Cove Springs, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 21% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,825 monthly, set against $109,848 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$109,848
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region
Centroid at 30.0007, -81.7074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Springs scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8
How Magnolia Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Springs
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Cove Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clay County average of 4.6 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12019031302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031302?
Census tract 12019031302 in the Magnolia Springs neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12019031302?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031302?
1.5% of residents in tract 12019031302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,640.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 74th, minority 38th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 12019031302 considered part of Magnolia Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12019031302 fall within Magnolia Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12019031302 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?
Tract 12019031302 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs
Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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