Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Green Cove Springs
Tract 12019031400 · Clay, FL · pop 6,090 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 12019031400, home to 6,090 residents in the Magnolia Springs neighborhood of Green Cove Springs, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,271 monthly, set against $44,724 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,076
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$44,724
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region
Centroid at 29.9954, -81.6847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Springs scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8
How Magnolia Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Springs
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Cove Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clay County average of 4.6 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12019031400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031400?
Census tract 12019031400 in the Magnolia Springs neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12019031400?
Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031400?
18.0% of residents in tract 12019031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 85th, minority 58th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 12019031400 considered part of Magnolia Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12019031400 fall within Magnolia Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12019031400 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?
Tract 12019031400 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs
Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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