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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031014101 · Duval, FL · pop 4,764 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 12031014101 covers the San Pablo neighborhood of Jacksonville, home to 4,764 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,204 monthly, set against $127,159 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$127,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In San Pablo
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Jacksonville
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#216 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#4,887 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2971, -81.4125 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,204 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
4.0

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 014101Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 81Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2014)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310141012002: 9 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (2.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (4.62/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (6.30/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 19Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.41x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014101?

Census tract 12031014101 in the San Pablo neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014101?

Median gross rent is $2,204/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014101?

5.4% of residents in tract 12031014101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,764.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 11th, minority 12th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 12031014101 considered part of San Pablo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014101 fall within San Pablo (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.18% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031014101 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031014101 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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