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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057013503 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,973

Tract 12057013503 sits in Palm River-Clair Mel, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 3,973 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 20% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,174
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$53,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Palm River-Clair Mel
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region

Centroid at 27.9420, -82.3720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,129 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6

How Palm River-Clair Mel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm River-Clair Mel risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0135034.3Palm River-Clair Mparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 400Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.3%Peak (2001)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013503
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 248Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.43×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.4% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,129, 26% below the Palm River-Clair Mel average. It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 400 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 15.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013503?

Census tract 12057013503 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013503?

Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013503?

16.4% of residents in tract 12057013503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 70th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 400 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.86% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013503 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057013503 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?

Tract 12057013503 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel

Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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