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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057013602 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,475

Tract 12057013602 sits in Palm River-Clair Mel, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,555, 68% above the Palm River-Clair Mel average.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$73,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Palm River-Clair Mel
Very Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#135 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region

Centroid at 27.9051, -82.3879 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,555 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6

How Palm River-Clair Mel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm River-Clair Mel risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0136024.3Palm River-Clair Mparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 94Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.8%Peak (2016)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013602
Filings climbed 320% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 126Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.40×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel

Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $73,813, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 29.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 94 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 20.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013602?

Census tract 12057013602 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013602?

Median gross rent is $2,555/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013602?

13.3% of residents in tract 12057013602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 80th, housing 34th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.36% of renter households, peaking at 20.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057013602 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?

Tract 12057013602 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel

Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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