Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.3% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 309 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 20.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 13.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.