Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Armenia Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Egypt Lake-Leto
Tract 12057011910 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,562 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12057011910 sits in the Armenia Court area of Egypt Lake-Leto, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 3,562 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share53.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$56,720
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Egypt Lake-Leto and the region
Centroid at 28.0141, -82.4922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armenia Court scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
7.8
How Armenia Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 217Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.45×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armenia Court
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.8% against 11.3% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $56,720 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.5 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,564, close to the Egypt Lake-Leto average.
54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011910
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011910?
Census tract 12057011910 in the Armenia Court neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011910?
Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011910?
15.4% of residents in tract 12057011910 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011910?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 68th, minority 83th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011910 considered part of Armenia Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011910 fall within Armenia Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011910 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011910 compare to Egypt Lake-Leto overall?
Tract 12057011910 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Egypt Lake-Leto at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Egypt Lake-Leto
Top eight tracts in Egypt Lake-Leto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Arbor Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Al Dana Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Pine Crest Manor
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
West Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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