Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057013703 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 8,611
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 12057013703 in Palm River-Clair Mel, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,611. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units3,644
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$70,493
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region
Centroid at 27.9120, -82.3578 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,512 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6
How Palm River-Clair Mel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 653Total filings over 11 yrs
- 12.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.5%Peak (2005)
- 72Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 132% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 516Total filings 2020-21
- 7.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Court records carry 653 eviction filings across 11 observed years. It sits 0.7 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 17.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,512, close to the Palm River-Clair Mel average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013703?
Census tract 12057013703 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013703?
Median gross rent is $1,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013703?
16.1% of residents in tract 12057013703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,611.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 24th, minority 77th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 653 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.93% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057013703 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?
Tract 12057013703 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel
Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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