Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Reflections Eviction Risk: Lower , Cheval
Tract 12057011521 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,775 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Reflections neighborhood of Cheval anchors census tract 12057011521, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,327 a month against an average household income of $62,098 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,241
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$62,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheval and the region
Centroid at 28.1378, -82.5354 · click any tract to drill in
Why Reflections scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheval
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheval
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheval
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheval
4.7
How Reflections compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 243Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2000)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Reflections. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Reflections
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cheval, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 243 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011521
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011521?
Census tract 12057011521 in the Reflections neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011521?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011521?
8.1% of residents in tract 12057011521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,775.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011521?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 42th, minority 69th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011521 considered part of Reflections?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011521 fall within Reflections (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011521?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 243 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011521 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011521 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011521 compare to Cheval overall?
Tract 12057011521 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cheval at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheval; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cheval
Top eight tracts in Cheval ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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