Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Reflections Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cheval
Tract 12057011521 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,775 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12057011521 covers part of the Reflections area of Cheval, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,241
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$62,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheval and the region
Centroid at 28.1378, -82.5354 · click any tract to drill in
Why Reflections scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheval
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheval
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheval
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheval
4.7
How Reflections compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 243Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2000)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Reflections. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Reflections
85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. Court records carry 243 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 6.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,327, close to the Cheval average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011521
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011521?
Census tract 12057011521 in the Reflections neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011521?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011521?
8.1% of residents in tract 12057011521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,775.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011521?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 42th, minority 69th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011521 considered part of Reflections?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011521 fall within Reflections (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011521?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 243 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011521 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011521 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011521 compare to Cheval overall?
Tract 12057011521 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Cheval at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheval; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cheval
Top eight tracts in Cheval ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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