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Neighborhood · Cheval, FL

Reflections Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,963 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–4

Reflections takes in 2 census tracts of Cheval, FL, population 6,963. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 53% against 29.0% citywide, putting Reflections 24.4% over its own city.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.7/10. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

Filings are well documented here: 257 across 2 observed tracts. At $1,617 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Cheval commands. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 10.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.0% in 2016, is well off that peak. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $78,623. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Reflections vs Cheval How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.4% +84%
Cheval: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$1,617 +12%
Cheval: $1,442
Average HH income
$78,623 -15%
Cheval: $92,095
Poverty rate
6.1% +15%
Cheval: 5.3%
Renter share
59.5% +47%
Cheval: 40.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Reflections and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4

Why Reflections scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 6.2–8.2 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 6.0–8.4 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–6.0 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–6.4 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Reflections vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Reflections score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7ReflectionsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Reflections

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057011521 4 4,775 46% $1,327
12057011523 3 2,188 69% $2,250
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 21%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Reflections

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 257Total filings (sum)
  • 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 1.39%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 73Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Reflections

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Reflections?

Reflections scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Reflections compare to Cheval overall?

Reflections scores 0.3 points lower than Cheval overall (4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,617 vs $1,442.
Q3

What is the average rent in Reflections?

Average gross rent in Reflections is $1,617/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Reflections residents are renters?

60% of Reflections households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Cheval). The neighborhood has 6,963 residents.
Q5

Is Reflections a high social-vulnerability area?

Reflections sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Reflections have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Reflections is census tract 12057011521 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Reflections for landlords?

Reflections carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cheval as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Reflections?

Reflections has 6,950 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.7%), Hispanic / Latino (28%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Reflections

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cheval

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Reflections.

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