Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011524 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,959
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 12057011524 in Northdale ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,959 residents. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,651 a month while the average household earns $54,232 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,163
Renter share69.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$54,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.1031, -82.5086 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,651 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,084Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2002)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 412Total filings 2020-21
- 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,084 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.1% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011524
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011524?
Census tract 12057011524 in Northdale scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011524?
Median gross rent is $1,651/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011524?
16.3% of residents in tract 12057011524 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011524?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 54th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011524?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,084 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011524 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.90% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011524 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011524 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011524 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Northdale at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Lakeview at Calusa Trace
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Arlington
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Turtle Creek
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12057011514
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
12057011515
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
Reflections
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
Armistead Manor
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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