Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
East Lake Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park
Tract 12057012001 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,595 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12057012001 is a census tract in the East Lake Park area of East Lake-Orient Park, FL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,070
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$57,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region
Centroid at 27.9873, -82.3858 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Lake Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,413 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.4
How East Lake Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 156Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.1%Peak (2016)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 108% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 105Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Lake Park
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 156 filings here across 11 tracked years. At $1,413 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of East Lake-Orient Park commands.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012001?
Census tract 12057012001 in the East Lake Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012001?
Median gross rent is $1,413/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012001?
12.1% of residents in tract 12057012001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,595.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 96th, minority 81th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 12057012001 considered part of East Lake Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012001 fall within East Lake Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.34% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057012001 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?
Tract 12057012001 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057012001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park
Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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