Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Breckenridge Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park
Tract 12057010402 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 6,272 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 12057010402 in the Breckenridge Park area of East Lake-Orient Park, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 78% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,609
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$50,343
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0044, -82.3647 · click any tract to drill in
Why Breckenridge Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,357 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.4
How Breckenridge Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,638Total filings over 11 yrs
- 13.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2005)
- 140Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 54% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,151Total filings 2020-21
- 15.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge Park
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $50,343, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
The filing record is not thin: 1,638 evictions over 11 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,357, 13% below the East Lake-Orient Park average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010402?
Census tract 12057010402 in the Breckenridge Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010402?
Median gross rent is $1,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010402?
16.8% of residents in tract 12057010402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,272.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 76th, minority 81th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010402 considered part of Breckenridge Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010402 fall within Breckenridge Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,638 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.59% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010402 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?
Tract 12057010402 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park
Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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